technology change and forecasting / publications

Whenever we try to pick out anything by itself,
we find it hitched to everything else in the universe.
–John Muir


  • 2022: Kucharavy, Dmitry, David Damand, and Marc Barth. 2022. Technological Forecasting Using Mixed Methods Approach. International Journal of Production Research. doi:10.1080/00207543.2022.2102447.,

  • 2020: D. Kucharavy, D. Damand, S. Gamoura, M. Barth. Supporting Strategic Decision-Making in Manufacturing 4.0 with mix of qualitative and quantitative data analysis, 3ème Conférence Internationale de Modélisation, Optimisation et Simulation (MOSIM'20)

  • 2019: D. Kucharavy, D. Damand, S. Gamoura, M. Barth, S. Mornay, Entrepôt du futur : le concept de cartographie de contradictions, Logistique & Management, Volume 28, 2020, Pages 48-56 | Published online: 18 Nov 2019

  • 2019: D. Kucharavy, D. Damand, M. Barth, R. Derrouiche, S. Gamoura, Using map of contradiction for decision support within warehouse design process, 9th IFAC Conference on Manufacturing Modelling, Management and Control MIM 2019, Berlin, Germany

  • 2018: D. Kucharavy, D. Damand, M. Barth, R. Derrouiche, Collaborative Design of Warehousing 4.0 Using The Concept of Contradictions, in Collaborative Networks of Cognitive Systems, 19th IFIP WG 5.5 Working Conference on Virtual Enterprises, PRO-VE 2018, Cardiff, UK, September 17-19, 2018, Proceedings
    preprint paper | presentation

  • 2018: D. Kucharavy, D. Damand, M. Barth, R. Derrouiche, and S. Mornay, Entrepôt du Futur : Cartographie de Contradictitons, In RIRL2018, Paris, France
    preprint paper | presentation

  • 2014: D. Kucharavy, Contradictions in the domain of technological forecasting White paper, November 2014, Deliverables of FORMAT project.
    white paper | original link

  • 2013: D. Kucharavy, Combination of Contradictions Based approach and Logistic Curves models for Strategic Technological Forecasting. Global TRIZ Conference 2013 in Korea. Seoul, S.Korea, July 9-11, 2013
    extended abstract | presentation

  • 2013: Roland De Guio, Dmitry Kucharavy, Arturo Nino de Zepeda S., Hybrid Logistic Curves and Contradictions Based Approach for Long-Term Technology Forecasting. 26th EURO-INFORMS European Conference on Operational Research July 1-4, 2013 - Rome, Italy
    accepted abstract | presentation

  • 2012: D. Kucharavy, R. De Guio, Application of Logistic Growth Curve. In C. V. Machado & H. V. Navas, eds. TRIZ Future Conference 2012. Lisbon, Portugal: Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Portugal, pp. 41–53.
    preprint paper | presentation

  • 2009: D. Kucharavy, E. Schenk, R. De Guio, Long-Run Forecasting of Emerging Technologies with Logistic Models and Growth of Knowledge, in 18th CIRP Design Conference - Competitive Design, Cranfield, UK, 2009. p.8.
    preprint paper | presentation

  • 2008: D. Kucharavy, and R. D. Guio, Logistic Substitution Model and Technological Forecasting, in 8th ETRIA World TRIZ Future Conference, University of Twente, Enschede, 2008. p.9.
    paper | presentation | link

  • 2008: M. Slupinski, D. Kucharavy, and R. D. Guio, The Research Process for the Principles of Complex System Description with the Reference to the Energy Generation System, in EuroMOT 2008 - The Third European Conference on Management of Technology, Nice, France, 2008. p.21.
    preprint paper

  • 2008: Kucharavy, D. and R. De Guio, Technological Forecasting and Assessment of Barriers for Emerging Technologies, in IAMOT 2008. Dubai, UAE. p. 20.
    paper | presentation

  • 2007: Kucharavy, D., Roland De Guio, Ludmila Gautier, Mathieu Marrony, Problem Mapping for the Assessment of Technological Barriers in the Framework of Innovative Design, in 16th International Conference on Engineering Design, ICED 2007, Ecole Centrale Paris: Paris, France.
    paper | poster

  • 2007: Kucharavy, D. TRIZ instruments for forecasting: Past, Present and Future, ETRIA TRIZ Future Conference 2007. Kassel University Press GmbH, Kassel: Frankfurt, Germany.

  • 2007: Kucharavy, D. and R. De Guio, Application of S-Shaped Curves, in 7th ETRIA TRIZ Future Conference 2007. Kassel University Press GmbH, Kassel: Frankfurt, Germany.
    paper | presentation | transcript of presentation

  • 2005: Kucharavy, D. and R. De Guio, Problems of Forecast, in ETRIA TRIZ Future 2005. Graz, Austria. p. 219-235.
    paper | presentation

See Core Project, 2001-2022